Temperature
Seasonal Temperature Outlook: January-March 2020 (JFM)
Issued: 30 Dec 2019
For JFM 2020, above-normal temperature is favoured over most parts of Southeast Asia.
For JFM 2020, all three models – NCEP CFSv2, ECMWF and UK Met Office (Figures 1-3) – favour above-normal temperature over most parts of Southeast Asia. These areas coincide with regions of moderate to high model skill except for northern parts of Mainland Southeast Asia.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for JFM 2020.
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for JFM 2020 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.