Temperature
Seasonal Temperature Outlook: December 2019 - February 2020 (DJF)
Issued: 29 Nov 2019
For DJF 2019-2020, above-normal temperature is favoured over most parts of Southeast Asia.
For DJF 2019-2020, all three models – NCEP CFSv2, ECMWF, and UK Met Office (Figures 1-3) – favour above-normal temperature over most parts of the region. These areas coincide with regions of moderate to high model skill except for parts of Mainland Southeast Asia.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for DJF 2019-2020.
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for DJF 2019-2020 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.