Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: July 2025
Issued: 24 Jun 2025
For July 2025, above-normal temperature is predicted over Southeast Asia.
For July 2025, above-normal temperature is predicted over Southeast Asia, based on the multi-model ensemble (Figure 1). The models predict a higher likelihood of above-normal temperature over the Maritime Continent as compared to Mainland Southeast Asia. Most of the models (more than six models, Figure 2) predict above-normal temperature as the most likely tercile. Model skill for predicting above-normal temperature is relatively good for most of Southeast Asia.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of the multi model ensemble for July 2025 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 2: Number of models in agreement in the multi-model ensemble for the dominant tercile for July 2025. Where there no dominant tercile, it refers to the number of models with near-normal tercile (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.