Temperature

Monthly Temperature Outlook: August 2025

Issued: 30 Jul 2025

For August 2025, above-normal temperature is predicted over Southeast Asia.

For August 2025, above-normal temperature is predicted over Southeast Asia, based on the multi-model ensemble (Figure 1). The models predict a higher likelihood of above-normal temperature over the Maritime Continent as compared to Mainland Southeast Asia. Most of the models (more than six models, Figure 2) predict above-normal temperature as the most likely tercile. Model skill for predicting above-normal temperature is relatively good for most of Southeast Asia.

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Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of the multi model ensemble for August 2025 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
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Figure 2: Number of models in agreement in the multi-model ensemble for the dominant tercile for August 2025. Where there no dominant tercile, it refers to the number of models with near-normal tercile (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).