Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: April 2024
Issued: 31 Mar 2024
For April 2024, above-normal temperature is predicted over the ASEAN region.
For April 2024, above-normal temperature is predicted over the ASEAN region based on the multi-model ensemble (Figure 4). All three models agree with high confidence on above-normal temperature over the Maritime Continent and most of Mainland Southeast Asia. Models’ skill for predicting above-normal temperature is good over the Maritime Continent as well as over much of Mainland Southeast Asia.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for April 2024 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for April 2024 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 3: Temperature tercile summary predictions of UK Met Office model for April 2024 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 4: Temperature tercile summary predictions of the multi-model ensemble for April 2024 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 5: Average climatological temperature for April based on ERA5 (Reference period: 1991-2020).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.