Long-range Forecasting

Bulletins

YEAR

TOPIC

YEAR

TOPIC

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Bulletin

03 JUN 2022

ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum

Eighteenth Session of the ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-18)

The Eighteenth session of ASEANCOF (ASEANCOF-18) was organised by the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) in collaboration with the ASMC and the ASEANCOF Working Group. Participants from the NMHSs of ASEAN Member States created a consensus forecast for the boreal summer monsoon 2022 in the ASEAN region. The consensus for June-July-August (JJA) 2022 outlook was achieved through an online session. There was also a special focus on monsoon variability, with a presentation from the Regional Working Group on Asian-Australian Monsoon (AAM-WG).

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Bulletin

06 APR 2022

ASMC

ASMC Bulletin (Issue #9, Mar 2022)

Contents of Issue #9:

  • Climate Review (July – December 2021): A weak negative IOD event followed by a late re-emerging of La Niña conditions
  • Regional Fire and Haze Situation (July– December 2021): A subdued haze season over the southern ASEAN region
  • Climate and Haze Outlook (March – August 2022): Signs of La Niña decay
  • Significant weather events in Southeast Asia articles from NCHMF, TMD, BDMD and PAGASA
  • Regional activities and ASMC events: ASEANCOF-17 and Webinar on Hotspot and Haze Assessment (H2A) for the ASEAN Region

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Bulletin

01 DEC 2021

ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum

Seventeenth Session of the ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-17)

The seventeenth session of ASEANCOF (ASEANCOF-17) was organised by the ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC) in collaboration with the ASEANCOF Working Group. Representatives from the NMHSs of ASEAN Member States created a consensus forecast for the boreal winter monsoon 2021/2022 in the ASEAN region. The consensus for December-January-February (DJF) 2021/2022 outlooks was achieved through an online session, which included presentations from NMHSs and Global Producing Centres (GPCs) of seasonal outlooks, questionnaires and discussions regarding the current conditions and predictions for the Southeast Asia region. 

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Bulletin

21 SEP 2021

ASMC

ASMC Bulletin (Issue #8, Sep 2021)

Contents of Issue #8:

  • Climate Review (January – June 2021): End of La Niña event
  • Regional Fire and Haze Situation (January – June 2021): Transboundary smoke haze over the Mekong sub-region
  • Climate and Haze Outlook (September 2021 – February 2022): Negative phase of IOD to persist until October and signs of possible La Niña developing near the end of the year
  • Significant weather events in Southeast Asia articles from NCHMF, DMH-Myanmar, TMD and PAGASA
  • Regional activities and ASMC events: Using subseasonal outlooks for disaster management in ASEAN (AHA Centre), Third Workshop on ASEAN Regional Climate Data, Analysis and Projections, Weather Prediction by Numerical Methods – Module 2, ASEANCOF-16 and Webinar on Hotspot and Haze Assessment (H2A) for the southern ASEAN Region

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Bulletin

02 JUN 2021

ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum

Sixteenth Session of the ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-16)

The sixteenth session of ASEANCOF (ASEANCOF-16) was organised by the ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC) in collaboration with the ASEANCOF Working Group. Representatives from the NMHSs of ASEAN Member States created a consensus forecast for the boreal summer monsoon 2021 in the ASEAN region. The consensus for June-July-August (JJA) 2021 outlooks was achieved through an online session, which included presentations from NMHSs, questionnaires and discussions regarding the current conditions and predictions for the Southeast Asia region.

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Bulletin

26 MAR 2021

ASMC

ASMC Bulletin (Issue #7, Mar 2021)

Contents of Issue #7:

  • Climate Review (July – December 2020): The development of La Niña conditions
  • Regional Fire and Haze Situation (July – December 2020): A subdued fire and haze season for the southern ASEAN region (August - October 2020)
  • Climate and Haze Outlook (March – August 2021): Signs of La Niña decay
  • Significant weather events in Southeast Asia articles from BDMD, DMH-Myanmar, PAGASA, TMD, and NCHMF
  • ASMC events: ASMC Webinar on Fire and Smoke Haze Monitoring and Detection for the Mekong Sub-region, 15th Session of the ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-15)

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Bulletin

07 DEC 2020

ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum

Fifteenth Session of the ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-15)

The fifteenth ASEANCOF (ASEANCOF-15) was organised by the ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre and conducted online. Representatives from the NMHSs of ASEAN Member States created a consensus forecast for the boreal winter monsoon 2020/2021 in the ASEAN region. The consensus for December-January-February (DJF) 2020/2021 outlooks was achieved through an online session, which included presentations from NMHSs and Global Producing Centres (GPCs) of seasonal outlooks, questionnaires and discussions regarding the current conditions and predictions for the Southeast Asia region.

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Bulletin

11 SEP 2020

ASMC

ASMC Bulletin (Issue #6, Sep 2020)

Contents of Issue #6:

  • Climate Review (January – June 2020): Neutral ENSO, and return to neutral IOD
  • Regional Fire and Haze Situation (January – June 2020): Widespread smoke haze over the Mekong sub region
  • Climate and Haze Outlook (September 2020 – February 2021): Signs of La Niña development
  • Significant weather events in Southeast Asia articles from PAGASA, TMD, DMH-Myanmar, and NCHMF
  • ASMC events: Fourteenth Session of the ASEAN Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-14), Subseasonal to Seasonal Predictions Southeast Asia (S2S SEA) Real Time Pilot Project

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