Temperature
Seasonal Temperature Outlook: February-April 2020 (FMA)
Issued: 30 Jan 2020
For FMA 2020, above-normal temperature is favoured over most parts of Southeast Asia.
For FMA 2020, all three models – NCEP CFSv2, ECMWF and UK Met Office (Figures 1-3) – favour above-normal temperature over most parts of Southeast Asia, with the highest likelihood over the central and southern parts of the region. The models’ skill for this season is moderate to high for much of Southeast Asia.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for FMA 2020.
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for FMA 2020 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.