Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: March 2020
Issued: 27 Feb 2020
For March 2020, above-normal temperature is favoured over most parts of Southeast Asia, apart from the most northern parts of the region.
For March 2020, all three models – NCEP CFSv2, ECMWF and UK Met Office (Figures 1-3) – consistently predict a high likelihood of above-normal temperature conditions over most parts of Southeast Asia, apart from over Myanmar and northern Viet Nam where near-normal to above-normal temperatures are predicted.
Over most parts of Southeast Asia, the models’ skill scores for predicting above-normal temperature is generally good, except for some northern parts of Mainland Southeast Asia where the skill is only low to moderate.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for March 2020.
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for March 2020 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.