Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: April 2020
Issued: 30 Mar 2020
For April 2020, above-normal temperature is favoured over most parts of Southeast Asia except for the most northern parts of the region.
For April 2020, all three models – NCEP CFSv2, ECMWF and UK Met Office (Figures 1-3) – predict a high likelihood of above-normal temperature conditions over most parts of Southeast Asia, except for the northern parts of Myanmar.
The models’ skill scores for predicting above-normal temperature is generally good across Southeast Asia, except for parts of northern Mainland Southeast Asia where the skill is only low to moderate.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for April 2020.
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for April 2020 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.