Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: May 2020
Issued: 27 Apr 2020
For May 2020, above-normal temperature is favoured over most parts of Southeast Asia.
For May 2020, all three models – NCEP CFSv2, ECMWF and UK Met Office (Figures 1-3) –predict a high likelihood of above-normal temperature conditions over most parts of Southeast Asia.
The models’ skill scores for predicting above-normal temperature is generally good across Southeast Asia, except for parts of northern Mainland Southeast Asia where the skill is only low to moderate.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for May 2020.
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for May 2020 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.