Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: February 2020
Issued: 30 Jan 2020
For February 2020, above-normal temperature is favoured over most parts of Southeast Asia, apart from the most northern parts of the region.
For February 2020, all three models – NCEP CFSv2, ECMWF and UK Met Office (Figures 1-3) consistently predict a high likelihood of above-normal temperature conditions over most parts of Southeast Asia, apart from over Myanmar and northern Viet Nam where near-normal to below-normal temperatures are predicted.
The models’ skill for predicting the above-normal and below normal temperature tercile categories are moderate to high over most parts of Southeast Asia.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for February 2020.
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for February 2020 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.