Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: June 2019
Issued: 30 May 2019
For June 2019, above-normal temperature is favoured over most parts of Southeast Asia, particularly north of the Equator.
For June 2019, all three models – NCEP CFSv2, ECMWF and the UK Met Office predict above-normal temperature over most parts of the Southeast Asia (Figures 1-3), with higher probabilities north of the Equator.
Over most parts of Southeast Asia, the models’ skill scores for predicting above-normal temperature is generally very good.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for June 2019.
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for June 2019 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.