Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: August 2019
Issued: 30 Jul 2019
For August 2019, above-normal temperature is favoured over most areas around and north of the equator. South of the equator, below-to-near normal temperature is predicted, particularly over the ocean.
For August 2019, all three models – NCEP CFSv2, ECMWF, and UK Met Office (Figures 1-3) – consistently predict above-normal temperature conditions over most areas near and north of the equator.
For southern parts of the Maritime Continent, in particular over the ocean, all three models predict below-to-near normal temperature conditions with different likelihoods.
The models’ skill scores for predicting both above- and below-normal temperature terciles are generally good over most parts of Southeast Asia except for some parts of the region, for e.g. northern Borneo and northern Philippines.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for August 2019.
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for August 2019 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).