Temperature
Seasonal Temperature Outlook: June-August 2020 (JJA)
Issued: 28 May 2020
For JJA 2020, above-normal temperature is favoured over most parts of Southeast Asia.
For JJA 2020, all three models – NCEP CFSv2, ECMWF and UK Met Office (Figures 1-3) – predict high-likelihood of above-normal temperature conditions over most parts of Southeast Asia. The models’ skill for this season is moderate to high for much of Southeast Asia.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for JJA 2020.
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for JJA 2020 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.