Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: March 2024
Issued: 29 Feb 2024
For March 2024, above-normal temperature is predicted over the ASEAN region.
For March 2024, above-normal temperature is predicted over the ASEAN region based on the multi-model ensemble (Figure 4). All three models agree with high confidence on above-normal temperature over the Maritime Continent and most of Mainland Southeast Asia. Models’ skill for predicting above-normal temperature over the Maritime Continent is relatively good, and moderate to good over Mainland Southeast Asia.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for March 2024 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for March 2024 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 3: Temperature tercile summary predictions of UK Met Office model for March 2024 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 4: Temperature tercile summary predictions of the multi-model ensemble for March 2024 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 5: Average climatological temperature for March based on ERA5 (Reference period: 1991-2020).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.