Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: June 2024
Issued: 24 May 2024
For June 2024, above-normal temperature is predicted over the ASEAN region.
For June 2024, above-normal temperature is predicted over the ASEAN region based on the multi-model ensemble (Figure 4). All three models agree with high confidence on above-normal temperature over most of the region, with only the UK Met Office model predicting near-normal temperature for the southernmost part of the Maritime Continent (Figure 3). Models’ skill for predicting above-normal temperature is good over the ASEAN region.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for June 2024 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for June 2024 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 5: Average climatological temperature for June based on ERA5 (Reference period: 1991-2020).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.