Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: July 2020
Issued: 29 Jun 2020
For July 2020, above-normal temperature is favoured over most parts of Southeast Asia except some parts of equatorial regions where near-normal temperature is predicted.
For July 2020, all three models – NCEP CFSv2, ECMWF and UK Met Office (Figures 1-3) – favour above-normal temperature conditions over most parts of Southeast Asia, except over parts of equatorial Southeast Asia (between 5°N and 5°S) where near-normal temperature conditions are predicted by the ECMWF model, associated with the above-normal rainfall conditions predicted in that region.
The models’ skill scores for predicting above-normal temperature is mostly good across Southeast Asia, except for northern parts of Mainland Southeast Asia where the skill is low to moderate.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for July 2020.
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for July 2020 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).