Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: August 2020
Issued: 30 Jul 2020
For August 2020, above-normal temperature is favoured over most parts of Southeast Asia except for the equatorial region where near-to above-normal temperature is predicted.
For August 2020, all three models – NCEP, ECMWF and UK Met Office (Figures 1-3) – favour above-normal temperature conditions over most parts of Southeast Asia, except over some parts near the equator where near-normal temperature conditions are predicted by the ECMWF and UK Met Office models.
The models’ skill scores for predicting above-normal temperature is mostly good across Southeast Asia, except for northern parts of Mainland Southeast Asia where the skill is low to moderate.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for August 2020.
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for August 2020 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.