Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: December 2019
Issued: 29 Nov 2019
For December 2019, above-normal temperature is favoured over most parts of Southeast Asia.
For December 2019, all three models – NCEP CFSv2, ECMWF, and UK Met Office (Figures 1-3) – consistently predict a high likelihood of above-normal temperature conditions over most parts Southeast Asia, although the likelihood is less over Mainland Southeast Asia in the ECMWF and UK Met Office models.
The models’ skill for predicting above-normal temperature tercile are moderate to high over most parts of Southeast Asia except for the northern part of Mainland Southeast Asia.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for December 2019.
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for December 2019 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.