Temperature
Monthly Temperature Outlook: December 2022
Issued: 30 Nov 2022
For December 2022, above-normal temperature is predicted over much of the eastern Maritime Continent, Peninsular Malaysia, and Myanmar. Near-normal temperature is predicted over the rest of ASEAN region.
For December 2022, above-normal temperature is predicted over much of the eastern Maritime Continent, around the Malay Peninsula, and over Myanmar as seen in the multi-model ensemble (Figure 4). The models’ skill for above-normal temperature for the Maritime Continent and Malay Peninsula is moderate to relatively high. However, model skill is low for Myanmar.
Elsewhere in the Southeast Asia, the multi-model ensemble (Figure 4) predicts an increased chance of near-normal temperature, with no dominant tercile for northeastern Mainland Southeast Asia. Model skill is moderate for much of the western half of the Maritime Continent, and low elsewhere.
Figure 1: Temperature tercile summary predictions of NCEP model for December 2022 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 2: Temperature tercile summary predictions of ECMWF model for December 2022 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 3: Temperature tercile summary predictions of UK Met Office model for December 2022 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
Figure 4: Temperature tercile summary predictions of the multi-model ensemble for December 2022 (contains modified Copernicus C3S information).
The qualitative outlook is assessed for the region in general. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.