Forecasts

Model Intercomparison

Forecasts of smoke aerosol optical depth (AOD) and surface particulate matter concentrations from individual models.

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The model forecasts shown are up to 48 hours ahead and at 3-hourly intervals. For model intercomparison, the outputs from the various models are represented using a common grid at a resolution of 0.5° x 0.5° and a geographical domain covering the major burning areas and smoke transport pathways in Southeast Asia. 

The individual models have different characteristics (e.g. global or regional model, horizontal/vertical resolution, smoke emissions derivation, physics and chemistry parameterisations, inclusion of data assimilation and feedback to the weather model). These differences contribute to variations in the forecasts across models.

Information on the individual models may be found on their websites and in the literature.